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Stricker six clear after three rounds at Riviera

Golf Betting Lines

02/07/2010 - Pacific Palisades, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steve Stricker polished off a five- under 66 Sunday and stretched his lead to six strokes after three rounds of the Northern Trust Open.

Stricker, who led by five entering the day, carded a pair of birdies and a bogey to wrap up his third round. Twelve players completed their third rounds Sunday morning after play was suspended on Saturday by darkness.

The tournament had weather problems on Friday that delayed the end of the second round until Saturday. The forecast for the remainder of Sunday is good so action is expected to be completed as scheduled around 6:00 p.m. (et).

Luke Donald, who also shot 66 in round three, and J.B. Holmes (67) had completed their third rounds on Saturday. They share second place at nine- under-par 204 with Andres Romero, who polished off his 70 on Sunday morning at Riviera Country Club.

Stricker returned to the course Sunday morning and had a 37-foot birdie putt on the par-four 15th. He poured that putt in and made it two in a row as he also birdied the par-three 16th.

After making par on the par-five 17th, Stricker missed a 14-foot par putt at the last as his lead dipped from seven to six entering the final round.

This is the ninth time Stricker has owned a piece of the lead entering the final round. Stricker won just three of those previous eight events.

Kevin Stadler (69), George McNeill (66) and Dustin Johnson (74) share fifth place at eight-under-par 205. Steve Marino (69), Ricky Barnes (69), Anthony Kim (69) and Alex Prugh (66) are one stroke back at minus-seven.

NOTES: There was a second cut that reduced the final-round field to 72 players...Nine players -- Bob Estes, Nick O'Hern, Fredrik Jacobson, David Duval, Rory Sabbatini, Ryan Moore, Bill Lunde, Cameron Beckman and Richard S. Johnson -- made the cut, but will not play the final round.


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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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