Bottom feeders, L.A., N.E. aim to gain ground
Soccer Betting Lines
07/03/2009 -
Carson, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two Major League Soccer clubs stuck in the
bottom third of their respective conference tables square off on Saturday when
the Los Angeles Galaxy host the New England Revolution at The Home Depot
Center.
The Galaxy (3-3-9) are actually coming off an impressive 1-0 win over league
leading Houston in their last league match on Sunday.
"I thought for the first time this year our central backs played extremely
well over 90 minutes," Los Angeles coach Bruce Arena said. "They were pretty
consistent. They didn't make any mistakes. They controlled the line very well,
and organized the team extremely well. To me, it was all about our central
backs, the start of the game was better. We consistently at home have given up
the first goal, played with 10 players and done all the things you do to lose
games. Fortunately, we got a point out of a lot of them. We corrected those
mistakes [vs. Houston]. We didn't put ourselves behind the eight ball and
chase the game."
The Galaxy are hoping a busy July schedule will propel them right back into
playoff contention.
"We talked about trying to get ahead of in games, and play the game on our
terms while also doing a better job in reacting to goals against us if we do
fall behind," L.A.'s Eddie Lewis said. "But in general, it was a very good win
for us. It is another building block for us as we move on in the season."
New England (4-4-4), on the other hand, is coming off a 3-1 loss in its last
league fixture on June 13 at Kansas City. The team has been successful as of
late, however, with two wins in three tries in SuperLiga action.
"I don't know if you guys have looked at our bench, but it's looking pretty
slim. We only have three or four guys. Rosters were cut this year and it's
become a lot more difficult on us," said defender Jeff Larentowicz. "At this
point, we're playing in essentially three different competitions right now so
we're going to have four or five games in two weeks. It's a lot of games with
half the roster."
The Revs will be without defender Jay Heaps because of his participation in
the CONCACAF Gold Cup, while defender Chris Albright, midfielders Mauricio
Castro, Shalrie Joseph and Steve Ralston, and forward Taylor Twellman are out
with injuries. Defenders Kevin Alston and Gabriel Badilla are questionable
with knocks of their own.
"We're already bare-bones coming into the game," Revolution defender Chris
Tierney said. "What did we have, 15 guys? We've had so many games. Guys are
struggling with knocks and we just can't take risks. If someone pulls
something, they have to come out. There's nothing we can do about it."
The Galaxy will be without goalkeeper Donovan Ricketts because of
international duty and defenders Sean Franklin and Julian Valentin because of
injury. Midfielder Dema Kovalenko and defender Yohance Marshall are
questionable and goalkeeper Josh Saunders is probable.
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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